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Revista de Biología Tropical, ISSN: 2215-2075, Vol. 72: e53860, enero-diciembre 2024 (Publicado Ene. 29, 2024)
2019). Modeling the spatio-temporal distribu-
tion patterns of species with different reproduc-
tive modes and climate dependencies will help
understand species-specific responses to global
warming, acting as a framework for the devel-
opment of conservation strategies.
The last glacial maximum (LGM) and
the middle-Holocene (MH) are synonyms of
climatic dynamics and environmental hetero-
geneity characterized by connection/discon-
nection processes between large tropical forests
(Kohler et al., 2010; Sobral-Souza et al., 2015).
These highly dynamic scenarios represented a
challenge for anuran biodiversity that experi-
enced variations in composition, abundance,
and spatio-temporal distribution patterns
(Pounds et al., 2006; Stuart et al., 2004; Wake,
1991). Although the tropical region exhibits
high abundance, richness, and endemism of
anurans, South America is the region where
this taxon is most threatened (Fouquet et al.,
2007; Menéndez-Guerrero et al., 2020; Stuart
et al., 2004; Stuart et al., 2008). Specifically, the
Neotropical region supports the greatest diver-
sity of anurans in the world, with approximately
3 000 registered species (Frost, 2022). Anurans
inhabit terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems, mak-
ing this taxon particularly sensitive to the
negative effects of climate change (Blaustein
et al., 2010; Bruzzi-Lion et al., 2019; Medina et
al., 2020; Menéndez-Guerrero et al., 2020). In
fact, in recent decades Neotropical amphibian
populations have decreased (Carey & Alexan-
der, 2003; Clavel et al., 2011; Pounds et al., 2006;
Stuart et al., 2004; Wake, 1991), with climate
change being a determining factor on differ-
ent spatio-temporal scales (Bellard et al., 2012;
Menéndez-Guerrero et al., 2020).
Niche models calculate the n-dimensional
hypervolume that defines the species’ ecologi-
cal niches from the environmental dimensions
of their conditions and resources (Hutchin-
son, 1957). Similarly, species distribution mod-
els (SDMs) allow inference of environmental
niches in past, current, and future climate
scenarios from the extrapolation of environ-
mental predictors, and the occurrence records
(Elith et al., 2006; Soberon, 2007). The family
Leptodactylidae is a broad taxon and in Argen-
tina is represented by 39 of the 232 species
described (Frost, 2022). Leptodactylus latina-
sus (Jiménez de la Espada, 1875), has a wide
geographic distribution including Argentina,
Bolivia, Paraguay, Uruguay, and southern Brazil
(Frost, 2022; Medina et al., 2020). Reproductive
activity of L. latinasus begins with the rainy
season (January-March) when temporary water
bodies are still dry (Ponssa et al., 2019). Like
many congeneric species, L. latinasus, lays its
eggs in underground chambers within foam
nests which prevent the larvae from drying
out from desiccation (Downie & Smith, 2003;
Ponssa & Barrionuevo, 2008). Larvaes hatch
inside the chamber and reach bodies of water
to complete their development (Bruzzi-Lion
et al., 2019; Ponssa & Barrionuevo, 2008). Phy-
salaemus cuqui (Lobo, 1993), is distributed in
Bolivia, Paraguay, and Argentina (Iglesias &
Natale, 2013). The reproductive activity of P.
cuqui depends strictly on rain: this species pres-
ents a marked seasonality in oviposition, which
occurs in floating foam nests inside temporary
water bodies (Ferrari & Vaira, 2001).
Although the environmental and climatic
requirements of both species are similar, the
reproductive modes have contrasting ecophysi-
ological constraints: How future climate change
could modify the spatial distribution patterns
of these species? We expect future climate
change to decrease the environmental niche
of both species, forcing the spatial distribution
patterns to stable climatic latitudes (Bruzzi-
Lion et al., 2019; Ferrari & Vaira, 2001; Medina
et al., 2020). The objectives of this research
were: 1) to determine the spatio-temporal dis-
tribution patterns of these sympatric species
with contrasting reproductive modes and, 2)
to evaluate whether the protected areas of the
World Database on Protected Areas (WDPA),
intended for the protection of biodiversity,
allow the conservation of these species in the
current scenario and in the future climatic
changes scenario.