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Revista de Biología Tropical, ISSN: 2215-2075, Vol. 72: e53860, enero-diciembre 2024 (Publicado Ene. 29, 2024)
Environmental sympatry through time: spatio-temporal distribution
and conservation status of two sympatric anuran species
(Leptodactylidae) in South America
Rebeca Acosta1; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9052-3248
Facundo Alvarez*2; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7095-9570
Betto Figueira3; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6892-9922
Sofia Castro Cavicchini1; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0280-9981
Rolando Vera1; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3072-8740
Daryl D. Cruz4; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7714-2459
Alejandro Nuñez1; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4316-9423
1. Consejo de Investigación, Universidad Nacional de Salta, Salta, Argentina; normarebecaacosta@gmail.com;
soficastro2594@gmail.com; rolandovera824@gmail.com; alenunez.1964@gmail.com
2. Programa de Pós-graduação em Ecologia e Conservação, Campus Nova Xavantina, Nova Xavantina, Universidade do
Estado de Mato Grosso, Mato Grosso, Brasil; facualva87@gmail.com (*Correspondence)
3. Laboratório de Biologia Celular e Helmintologia, Instituto de Ciências Biológicas, Universidade Federal do Pará,
Belém, Pará, Brasil; herpetologostm@gmail.com
4. Centro de Investigación en Biodiversidad y Conservación, Universidad Autónoma del Estado de Morelos, México;
daryldavidcf@gmail.com
Received 25-I-2023. Corrected 07-VIII-2023. Accepted 18-I-2024.
ABSTRACT
Introduction: Leptodactylus latinasus and Physalaemus cuqui are sympatric anuran species with similar envi-
ronmental requirements and contrasting reproductive modes. Climatic configuration determines distribution
patterns and promotes sympatry of environmental niches, but specificity/selectivity determines the success of
reproductive modes. Species distribution models (SDM) are a valuable tool to predict spatio-temporal distribu-
tions based on the extrapolation of environmental predictors.
Objectives: To determine the spatio-temporal distribution of environmental niches and assess whether the
protected areas of the World Database of Protected Areas (WDPA) allow the conservation of these species in the
current scenario and future.
Methods: We applied different algorithms to predict the distribution and spatio-temporal overlap of environ-
mental niches of L. latinasus and P. c u q u i within South America in the last glacial maximum (LGM), middle-
Holocene, current and future scenarios. We assess the conservation status of both species with the WDPA
conservation units.
Results: All applied algorithms showed high performance for both species ( TSS = 0.87, AUC = 0.95). The L. lati-
nasus predictions showed wide environmental niches from LGM to the current scenario (49 % stable niches, 37 %
gained niches, and 13 % lost niches), suggesting historical fidelity to stable climatic-environmental regions. In the
current-future transition, L. latinasus would increase the number of stable (70 %) and lost (20 %) niches, suggest-
ing fidelity to lowland regions and a possible trend toward microendemism. P. cu q ui loses environmental niches
from the LGM to the current scenario (25 %) and in the current-future transition (63 %), increasing the envi-
ronmental sympathy between both species; 31 % spatial overlap in the current scenario and 70 % in the future.
https://doi.org/10.15517/rev.biol.trop..v72i1.53860
CONSERVATION
2Revista de Biología Tropical, ISSN: 2215-2075 Vol. 72: e53860, enero-diciembre 2024 (Publicado Ene. 29, 2024)
INTRODUCTION
Climate change, driven by anthropogenic
actions, has the potential to modify the distri-
bution patterns of biodiversity and the compo-
sition of ecological communities (Bellard et al.,
2012; Kohler et al., 2010; Menéndez-Guerrero
et al., 2020). Its effects include alterations in the
spatio-temporal distribution patterns, increases
in the probability of extinction, and declines
in species richness (Clavel et al., 2011; Pounds
et al., 2006; Stuart et al., 2004; Wake, 1991).
Therefore, climate change could alter the beta
diversity of anurans at the landscape level;
declines in anuran species richness are pro-
jected, limiting ecosystem functions (Anderson
et al., 2011; Magurran et al., 2019; Menéndez-
Guerrero et al., 2020). Climate change favors the
turnover of specialist species, with geographi-
cally restricted distribution patterns, by gen-
eralist species with wide spatial distributions,
all without generating concomitant changes in
species richness (Anderson et al., 2011; Bellard
et al., 2012; Clavel et al., 2011; Magurran et al.,
Conclusion: Extreme drought events and rainfall variations, derived from climate change, suggest the loss of
environmental niches for these species that are not currently threatened but are not adequately protected by con-
servation units. The loss of environmental niches increases spatial sympatry which represents a new challenge for
anurans and the conservation of their populations.
Key words: species distribution models; environmental sympatry; niche overlap; climate change; Leptodactylus
latinasus; Physalaemus cuqui.
RESUMEN
Simpatría ambiental a través del tiempo: distribución espacio-temporal y estado de conservación de dos
especies de anuros simpátricos (Leptodactylidae) en América del Sur
Introducción: Leptodactylus latinasus y Physalaemus cuqui son especies de anuros simpátricos con requerimien-
tos ambientales similares y modos reproductivos contrastantes. La configuración climática determina los patrones
de distribución y promueve la simpatría de los nichos ambientales, pero la especificidad/selectividad determina el
éxito de los modos reproductivos. Los modelos de distribución de especies (MDE) son una herramienta valiosa
para predecir distribuciones espacio-temporales basadas en la extrapolación de predictores ambientales.
Objetivos: Determinar la distribución espacio-temporal de los nichos ambientales y evaluar si las áreas protegi-
das de la base de Datos Mundial de Áreas Protegidas (DMAP) permiten la conservación de estas especies en el
escenario actual y futuro.
Métodos: Aplicamos diferentes algoritmos para predecir la distribución y superposición espacio-temporal de
nichos ambientales de L. latinasus y P. cu qu i dentro de América del Sur en el último máximo glacial (UGM),
Holoceno medio, actual y futuro. Evaluamos el estado de conservación de ambas especies con las unidades de
conservación de la DMAP.
Resultados: Todos los algoritmos aplicados mostraron un alto rendimiento para ambas especies ( TSS = 0.87,
AUC = 0.95). Las predicciones de L. latinasus mostraron amplios nichos ambientales desde LGM hasta el esce-
nario actual (49 % de nichos estables, 37 % de nichos ganados y 13 % de nichos perdidos), sugiriendo fidelidad
histórica por regiones climático-ambientales estables. En la transición actual-futura L. latinasus incrementaría
la cantidad de nichos estables (70 %) y perdidos (20 %), sugiriendo fidelidad por regiones de tierras bajas y la
posible tendencia hacia el microendemismo. P. c u q u i pierde nichos ambientales desde el LGM al escenario actual
(25 %) y en la transición actual-futura (63 %), incrementando la simpatría ambiental entre ambas especies; 31 %
de superposición espacial en el escenario actual y 70 % en el futuro.
Conclusión: Los eventos de sequía extrema y las variaciones de precipitaciones, derivados del cambio climático,
sugieren la pérdida de nichos ambientales para estas especies, actualmente no se encuentran amenazadas, pero
no están adecuadamente protegidas por las unidades de conservación. La pérdida de nichos ambientales aumenta
la simpatría espacial que representa un nuevo desafío para estos anuros y la conservación de sus poblaciones.
Palabras clave: modelos de distribución de especies; simpatría ambiental; superposición de nicho; cambio climá-
tico; Leptodactylus latinasus; Physalaemus cuqui.
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Revista de Biología Tropical, ISSN: 2215-2075, Vol. 72: e53860, enero-diciembre 2024 (Publicado Ene. 29, 2024)
2019). Modeling the spatio-temporal distribu-
tion patterns of species with different reproduc-
tive modes and climate dependencies will help
understand species-specific responses to global
warming, acting as a framework for the devel-
opment of conservation strategies.
The last glacial maximum (LGM) and
the middle-Holocene (MH) are synonyms of
climatic dynamics and environmental hetero-
geneity characterized by connection/discon-
nection processes between large tropical forests
(Kohler et al., 2010; Sobral-Souza et al., 2015).
These highly dynamic scenarios represented a
challenge for anuran biodiversity that experi-
enced variations in composition, abundance,
and spatio-temporal distribution patterns
(Pounds et al., 2006; Stuart et al., 2004; Wake,
1991). Although the tropical region exhibits
high abundance, richness, and endemism of
anurans, South America is the region where
this taxon is most threatened (Fouquet et al.,
2007; Menéndez-Guerrero et al., 2020; Stuart
et al., 2004; Stuart et al., 2008). Specifically, the
Neotropical region supports the greatest diver-
sity of anurans in the world, with approximately
3 000 registered species (Frost, 2022). Anurans
inhabit terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems, mak-
ing this taxon particularly sensitive to the
negative effects of climate change (Blaustein
et al., 2010; Bruzzi-Lion et al., 2019; Medina et
al., 2020; Menéndez-Guerrero et al., 2020). In
fact, in recent decades Neotropical amphibian
populations have decreased (Carey & Alexan-
der, 2003; Clavel et al., 2011; Pounds et al., 2006;
Stuart et al., 2004; Wake, 1991), with climate
change being a determining factor on differ-
ent spatio-temporal scales (Bellard et al., 2012;
Menéndez-Guerrero et al., 2020).
Niche models calculate the n-dimensional
hypervolume that defines the species’ ecologi-
cal niches from the environmental dimensions
of their conditions and resources (Hutchin-
son, 1957). Similarly, species distribution mod-
els (SDMs) allow inference of environmental
niches in past, current, and future climate
scenarios from the extrapolation of environ-
mental predictors, and the occurrence records
(Elith et al., 2006; Soberon, 2007). The family
Leptodactylidae is a broad taxon and in Argen-
tina is represented by 39 of the 232 species
described (Frost, 2022). Leptodactylus latina-
sus (Jiménez de la Espada, 1875), has a wide
geographic distribution including Argentina,
Bolivia, Paraguay, Uruguay, and southern Brazil
(Frost, 2022; Medina et al., 2020). Reproductive
activity of L. latinasus begins with the rainy
season (January-March) when temporary water
bodies are still dry (Ponssa et al., 2019). Like
many congeneric species, L. latinasus, lays its
eggs in underground chambers within foam
nests which prevent the larvae from drying
out from desiccation (Downie & Smith, 2003;
Ponssa & Barrionuevo, 2008). Larvaes hatch
inside the chamber and reach bodies of water
to complete their development (Bruzzi-Lion
et al., 2019; Ponssa & Barrionuevo, 2008). Phy-
salaemus cuqui (Lobo, 1993), is distributed in
Bolivia, Paraguay, and Argentina (Iglesias &
Natale, 2013). The reproductive activity of P.
cuqui depends strictly on rain: this species pres-
ents a marked seasonality in oviposition, which
occurs in floating foam nests inside temporary
water bodies (Ferrari & Vaira, 2001).
Although the environmental and climatic
requirements of both species are similar, the
reproductive modes have contrasting ecophysi-
ological constraints: How future climate change
could modify the spatial distribution patterns
of these species? We expect future climate
change to decrease the environmental niche
of both species, forcing the spatial distribution
patterns to stable climatic latitudes (Bruzzi-
Lion et al., 2019; Ferrari & Vaira, 2001; Medina
et al., 2020). The objectives of this research
were: 1) to determine the spatio-temporal dis-
tribution patterns of these sympatric species
with contrasting reproductive modes and, 2)
to evaluate whether the protected areas of the
World Database on Protected Areas (WDPA),
intended for the protection of biodiversity,
allow the conservation of these species in the
current scenario and in the future climatic
changes scenario.
4Revista de Biología Tropical, ISSN: 2215-2075 Vol. 72: e53860, enero-diciembre 2024 (Publicado Ene. 29, 2024)
MATERIALS AND METHODS
Study site: We delimited the study area
from the occurrence records of both species,
restricted to South America (Fig. 1). The topo-
graphic landscape is represented by floodplains
and highland ridges with air temperatures
ranging between 20-26 ºC and annual rain-
fall between 2 200 and 3 100 mm, classified
according to Köppen as Af and Am climates
(Peel et al., 2007). The study area exhibits high
spatial and environmental heterogeneity, incor-
porating different mosaics such as high-alti-
tude mountain ranges, floodplains, mangroves,
swamps, coastal regions, deserts, and savan-
nahs interconnected by hydrographic basins
and phytophysiognomic formations (Alvarez
et al., 2022).
Occurrence records: We selected the
Leptodactylus latinasus and Physalaemus
cuqui species, from the Leptodactylidae fam-
ily, because they are sympatric and although
both species present similar environmental
and climatic requirements, their reproduc-
tive modes respond differentially to climatic-
environmental conditions. The target species
are classified as “Least-concern”: L. latinasus
Fig. 1. Digital elevation model with the geographic distribution of Leptodactylus latinasus and Physalaemus cuqui in South
America. In grey scale, Kernel density map with areas of highest (white) and lowest (black) abundance density of records of
occurrence.