Keywords
protected areas
biodiversity
conservation.
cambio climático
áreas protegidas
biodiversidad
conservación
Abstract
Climate change is considered the greatest challenge facing humanity today. For the past 30 years, each decade has been hotter than the previous one. This article presents a statistical analysis of environmental temperature using simple linear models to investigate the trends of average temperature between 2010 and 2019 at the Alberto Manuel Brenes Biological Reserve (REBAMB), Costa Rica. Data was collected using a meteorological station located at the REBAMB. The average temperature has varied significantly between 2010 and 2019, temperatures have increased during the dry seasons and decreased during the rainy seasons. Projections made using an arithmetic growth model for the 2010-2019 period, estimate average temperatures of 21.11 °C and 22.42 °C for the dry seasons of 2030 and 2050, respectively. On the other hand, if a simple linear regression model is used to make the same projections for the wet seasons, the resulting average temperatures will be 18.051 °C and 15.831 °C. Is not yet known how these temperature changes will affect the biodiversity of the REBAMB.
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