Keywords
nupcialidad
vector autorregresivo
España
Fertility
marriage
vector autoregressive models
Spain
How to Cite
Abstract
The study analyzes in Spain the relationship between fecundity and marriage. In order to analyze how marriage and fertility are interrelated variables over time empirically evaluated a model that attempts to capture the non-causal temporal relationships between both phenomena in Spain. The analysis is approached by a VAR model and impulse response functions. The data used comes from the National Statistics Institute (INE). It has proven a fluctuating relationship between the two processes and weakly procyclical. The performances on births generate effects on both series showing influence-leadership.
References
Ballabriga, F. (1991). Instrumentos de la metodología VAR. España: Banco de España, Servicio de Estudios. Recuperado de http://www.bde.es/f/webbde/SES/Secciones/Publicaciones/PublicacionesSeriadas/DocumentosTrabajo/91/Fich/dt_9108.pdf
Bongaarts, J. (1978). A Framework for Analyzing the Proximate Determinants of Fertlity. Population and Development Review, 4, 105-131.
Budowski, M. y Rosero-Bixby, L. (2003). Fatherless Costa Rica: Child acknowledgement and support among lone mothers. Journal of Comparative Family Studies, 2(34), 229-254.
Castro, T. (1999). Pautas recientes en la formación de pareja: ampliando el concepto de nupcialidad a las uniones consensuales. Revista Internacional de Sociología, 23, 61-94.
Castro, T. (2002). Consensual unions in Latin America: Persistence of a dual nuptiality system. Journal of Comparative Family Studies, (33), 1, 35-55.
Castro, T. (2007). Maternidad sin matrimonio: nueva vía de formación de familias en España. España: Fundación BBVA. Recuperado de http://digital.csic.es/bitstream/10261/10593/1/dt_16_maternidad.pdf
Davis, K. y Blake, J. (1956). Social Structure and Fertility: An Analytic Framework. Economic and Cultural Change, 4, 211-235.
Hajnal, J. (1965). European marriage patterns in perspective. En D. V. Glass, and D. E. C. Eversley (eds.), Population in History (101-146). Londres: Edward Arnold.
Hajnal, J. (1982). Two kinds of preindustrial household formation system. Population and Development Review, (8), 449-494.
Instituto Nacional de Estadística [INE]. (2014a). Movimiento Natural de la Población, Estadística de Matrimonios. http://www.ine.es/inebmenu/mnu_dinamicapob.htm
Instituto Nacional de Estadística [INE]. (2014b). Movimiento Natural de la Población, Estadística de Nacimientos. http://www.ine.es/inebmenu/mnu_dinamicapob.htm.
Johansen, S. (1992). Determination of cointegration rank in the presence of a linear trend. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 3(54), 383-398.
Leguina, J. (1976). Fundamentos de demografía (2a ed). Madrid: Siglo XXI.
Moors, G. y Bernhardt, E. (2009). Splitting Up or Getting Married? Competing Risk Analysis of Transitions Among Cohabiting Couples in Sweden. Acta Sociologica, 52, 227-247.
Redondo, N., Díaz, M., Llorente, M., Garay, S., Guidotti, C. y Mendoza, L. (2014). El espacio residencial del cuidado en América Latina y España. En VI Congreso de la Asociación Latinoamericana de Población (ALAP). Lima (Perú).
Meil, G. (1999). La población española. Madrid: Acento Editorial. Recuperado de https://www.uam.es/personal_pdi/economicas/gmeil/espaniol/docencia/sociologia_poblacion/poblacion.pdf
Njogu, W. y Castro, T. (1998). Weakening linkages between marriage and childbearingin Kenya: An intersurvey comparison. En IUSSP Seminar on Reproductive Changein Sub-Saharan Africa, Nairobi, África.
Perelli-Harris, B., Kreyenfeld, M., Sigle-Rushton, W., Keizer, R., Lappegard, T., Jasilioniene, A., Berghammer, C. y Guilio, P. (2012). Changes in union status during the transition to parenthood in eleven European countries, 1970s to early 2000s. Population Studies, 66, 167-182.
Sassler, S. y Cunningham, A. (2008). How cohabitors view childbearing. Sociological Perspectives, 51, 3-28.
Sims, C. (1980). Macroeconomics and reality, Econometrica, 48, 165-192.
Stover, J. (1998). Revising the Proximate Determinants of Fertility Framework, Studies in Family Planning, (29), 3.
United Nations. (2003). Partnership and Reproductive Behaviour in Low-Fertility Countries. Nueva York: Autor.
Valero, A. (1997). La fecundidad en España, ¿caída sin límites o recuperación? Hacia un nuevo regimen demográfico. Política y Sociedad, 26, 25-39.
Wiik, K. A., Bernhardt, E. y Noack, T. (2009). A Study of Commitment and Relationship Quality in Sweden and Norway. Journal of Marriage and the Family, 71, 465-477.