Archivos suplementarios
Palabras clave
envejecimiento
probabilidades de transición
riesgos de mortalidad
México
functional dependence
aging
transition probabilities
mortality risks
Mexico
Cómo citar
Resumen
Objetivo: El objetivo de este artículo es estimar las probabilidades de transición entre los diversos grados de dependencia funcional, así como la capacidad predictiva de dicha dependencia para la mortalidad general de hombres y mujeres de 65 años y más residentes en México. Métodos: Mediante probabilidades se calculan transiciones entre diversos grados de dependencia funcional y, con modelos de riesgos proporcionales de Cox, se estiman los riesgos relativos de mortalidad. Resultados: Los resultados indican que las mujeres tienen mayores probabilidades de transitar de dependencia funcional ligera a moderada o severa que los hombres. Así mismo, las mujeres y los hombres con dependencia funcional severa, evaluada en la línea basal, tienen mayores riesgos relativos de mortalidad que los riesgos de mortalidad de los individuos sin dependencia funcional. Conclusión: Existen diferencias en las probabilidades de transición a la dependencia funcional, destacando que las mujeres muestran mayores probabilidades de transitar a mayores grados de restricciones físicas que los hombres. En este sentido, tener limitaciones físicas en el desarrollo de actividades básicas de la vida diaria incrementa los riesgos de mortalidad entre personas adultas mayores mexicanas.
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