ILLICIT CROPS, CRIMINAL FRAGMENTATION AND HOMICIDES IN THE STATE OF GUERRERO, MEXICO

Abstract

One of the main causes of instability in Mexico is the violence linked to drug
production and trafficking. Within the different illegal markets, poppy’s production
is one with an increasing relevance due to the proliferation of international opiate
consumption. This article analyzes the relationship between homicides and poppy’s
production in 46 municipalities in the state of Guerrero. The research also includes
the variables of criminal fragmentation and social lag. The analysis is conducted from
bivariate correlations evidencing a negative association between homicides, illegal
crops, and social lag, while being positive with criminal fragmentation. Conclusions
reflect the relevance of different criminal organizations fighting to control a territory as
an explicative element of violence in Mexico.